by Both teams should be in a postseason game Monday when the New Mexico State Aggies take on the Bowling Green Falcons in the 2022 Quick Lane Bowl. Not much was expected of either team, but both finished the season 6-6 to earn a bowl berth. That means both teams will be highly motivated to win at Ford Field in Detroit on Monday. The Aggies won their last two games, beating Valparaiso 65-3 in the regular-season finals. This is their fifth bowl game and only their second since 1960. BGSU defeated Toledo 42-35 on November 15 to qualify for the bowl and then lost 38-14 to Ohio in the finals. The Falcons are in their 13th bowl game, but this is their first since 2015.
Kickoff is scheduled for Monday at 2:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Falcons as 3.5-point favorites in its latest odds for the Quick Lane Bowl between New Mexico State and Bowling Green, and the over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5. Before placing any bets between Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State or Quick Lane Bowl, be sure to review the SportsLine projection model college football predictions and betting advice.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $2,500 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now the model has settled on New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green and just released its Quick Lane Bowl 2022 predictions. You can go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State:
- Spread between New Mexico St. and Bowling Green: Falcons -3.5
- New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green Over/Under: 48.5 points
- Money line between New Mexico St. and Bowling Green: Aggies +143, Falcons -170
- NMSU: It’s 14-10 ATS since the start of the 2020 season
- BG: It’s been 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight non-conference games
- New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Bowling Green Falcons vs. New Mexico State Aggies
Why the Falcons can cover
Bowling Green played one of the tougher schedules in the MAC, going 5-3. The Aggies had one of the easiest game plans in the nation, and two of their victories came against FCS teams. The Falcons’ passing attack can be strong when it gets rolling, and quarterback Matt McDonald has threw for 2,639 yards and 22 touchdowns this season. Bowling Green is 4-2 if it goes at least 247 yards and 2-4 if it doesn’t go. The Falcons average 237 passing yards per game.
They beat Marshall a week after the Thundering Herd defeated Notre Dame and defeated Toledo, the eventual MAC champion. McDonald threw for 395 yards in the win against the Rockets to qualify for the bowl. Odieu Hiliare had 246 receiving yards that game and 704 this season and six TDs. His full-back Tyrone Broden has also scored six goals, and tight end Christian Sims has 41 receptions. The Falcons are 3-3 against the spread in their last six.
Why the Aggies can cover
New Mexico State doesn’t have much bowling experience, but it has never lost a postseason game, going 3-0-1. The Aggies are defensive players and shouldn’t have too much of a problem against Bowling Green. The Falcons are averaging 338 yards per game (106th in FBS) while the Aggies are conceding 343 (33rd). NMSU is ranked 14th in the nation against the pass (185 YPG). While the Aggies are average against the run, BGSU is averaging just 101 yards down (121st).
The Aggies also have a strong running game, averaging 156 yards, led by Star Thomas with 477 yards. Quarterback Diego Pavia is scheduled to play Monday, and he has reached 443. The junior threw for 323 yards and a career-high four touchdown passes in the finals against Valparaiso. The Aggies rushed for 232 yards in the game and averaged 11.9 yards per game. New Mexico State is 7-5 ATS this season after going 5-1 ATS in the last six games.
How to make New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green picks
The model has simulated the Quick Lane Bowl match 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans on the total score, with the simulations projecting 50 combined points. The model also generated a point spread pick that hits 60% of the simulations. The model’s Quick Lane Bowl Picks are only available from SportsLine.
So, who will win the matchup between Bowling Green and New Mexico State in Monday’s Quick Lane Bowl? And which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green will be played at Monday’s Quick Lane Bowl, all from the progressive model that has crushed its top-flight college football picks and find out .
